SST was biased high throughout the summer for both the January and April forecasts for 2016 compared to the observations at the OCNMS Cape Elizabeth mooring. In general, the model was ~4-5 deg C too warm. Forecasted bottom temperatures were also biased warm by 0.5-1.5 deg C at the same mooring.

Sea surface temperature forecasts (top) and bottom temperature forecasts (bottom) compared to the OCNMS Cape Elizabeth 42-meter station observations from the Washington shelf. The modeled fields (January forecast - teal, April forecast - darker blue) were extracted from the model from the same location as the observations (red).