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Year in Review

SST was biased high in all the forecasts for 2013. Forecasted SSTs were nearly 7 degrees too warm at the Ćháʔba, and at the OCNMS Cape Elizabeth moorings in August. The late upwelling season was when the forecast performed the worst, as previously discussed, due to the biases in the winds and radiation from CFS. Forecasted bottom temperatures were also biased warm by 0.5-0.75 deg C at the same moorings.

Sea temperature forecasts compared to the Ćháʔba buoy observations

Sea temperature forecasts compared to the Cape Elizabeth 42m station observations